National Football League: 2010-2011
This year I am fortunate enough for my picks to be followed for the third consecutive year by the "The Prediction Tracker". The site, led by Todd Beck, is simply an awesome one, and, if you haven't visited it, I encourage that you do....
I just love Football.............................
Super Bowl XLV...... Wonderful way to finish up the season - on a winning note....
Next season cannot come too soon...... Finished the season below expectations but was Plus 11.7 and 10.6 units (22.3 Units) for the season in my BestBets and Over/Under Plays. Against the spread was a total of -6.1 units.
To summarize the profit for the 2010 - 2011 season was: 16.2 Units.....
Now that there is one more season of additional data there will be many analyses performed from now till the beginning of the next season...., Hoping to improve my algorithms for a much better performance.
SUPER BOWL XLV:
BestBets: "GreenBay - 2.5" , "Pit/GB OVER 44"
| NFL -Super Bowl: Sun - February 6, 2011 | |||||||||||
| Away | Pred | Pred | Home | Line | O/U | Score | Score | ATS Play | W/L | O/U Play | W/L |
| Pittsburgh | 23 | 33 | GreenBay | -2.5 | 44.0 | 25 | 31 | GreenBay | W | Over | W |
Results: 2010 - 2011 NFL Season
NFL 2010-2011
My predictions for the 2010-2011 NFL season week by week.....
Week 1....
BestBets: "Min/NO - UNDER 48" , "Pittsburgh + 2.5", "Washington + 3.5", "Atl/Pit - UNDER 38"
BestBets: 4 - 0; SU All: 12 - 4; ATS All: 7 - 6
Week 2....
BestBets: "Detroit +5", "NYJets +1.5", "SanDiego -7.5", "Bal/Cin - UNDER 40", "St.L/Oak - UNDER 37.5"
BestBets: 5 - 0; SU All: 8 - 8; ATS All: 10 - 4
Week 3....
BestBets: "Baltimore -10.5", "NewEngland -14", "Washington -3.5", "Cle/Bal - UNDER 37", "GB/Chi - UNDER 46"
BestBets: 1 - 4; SU All: 5 - 11; ATS All: 2 - 13
Week 4....
BestBets: "Denver + 6.5", "Jacksonville + 7.0", "Was / Phi UNDER 43"
BestBets: 3 - 0; SU All: 9 - 5; ATS All: 6 - 7
Week 5....
BestBets: "Arizona + 6.5", "TampaBay + 6.5", "St.L / Det OVER 43", "SD / Oak UNDER 45"
BestBets: 3 - 1; SU All: 6 - 8; ATS All: 5 - 9
Week 6....
BestBets: "KC + 4", "Atl + 3", "Cle + 13", "KC/Hou UNDER 44.5", "Atl/Phi UNDER 43", "Ind / Was OVER 43.5"
BestBets: 1 - 4; SU All: 7 - 7; ATS All: 5 - 6
Week 7....
BestBets: "Atl - 3.5", "GB - 2.5", "Cle + 13", "Sea - 5.5", "Min/GB OVER 44", "Cle/NO UNDER 43.5", "NYG/Dal OVER 44"
BestBets: 6 - 1; SU All: 8 - 6; ATS All: 10 - 4
Week 8....
BestBets: "TampaBay +3", "Detroit -2.5", St.Louis -3", "Mia / Cin UNDER 43.5", "Ten / SD OVER 44", "Car / St.L OVER 37"
BestBets: 5 - 1; SU All: 9 - 4; ATS All: 9 - 3
Week 9....
BestBets: "TB +9","Mia +5.5","Car +6.5","Det +4","Sea +7","TB/Atl UND 44.5","Mia/Bal UND 40.5","NYJ/Det OVER 41.5"
BestBets: 4 - 4; SU All: 6 - 7 ; ATS All: 5 - 7
Week 10....
BestBets:"Bal + 1" "Ari - 3","NYG - 13.5","SF - 5.5","Car + 7","Det/Buf UND 45.5","Cin/Ind OVER 47.5", "StL/SF UND 38"
BestBets: 4 - 4; SU All: 7 - 7 ; ATS All: 6 - 7
Week 11....
BestBets: "Baltimore -10.5", "Buffalo +5.5", "St.Louis +3", "GB / Min UNDER 45"
BestBets: 3 - 1; SU All: 11 - 5 ; ATS All: 7 - 9
Week 12....
BestBets: "Det +6.5", "Cle -10", "Oak -3" "Pit/Buf UNDER 43", "StL/Den UNDER 44.5", "Ten/Hou UNDER 45", "Mia/Oak OVER 39.5"
BestBets: 3 - 4; SU All: 7 - 9 ; ATS All: 5 - 11
Week 13....
BestBets: "Detroit +5", "Buffalo +5.5" "StL/Ari UNDER 43.5", NO/Cin UNDER 44.5", SF/GB OVER 41"
BestBets: 3 - 2; SU All: 10 - 6 ; ATS All: 11 - 5
Week 14....
BestBets: "Phi -3.5", "Pit -8.5", "KC +6.5", "Atl/Car UNDER 42.5" "Mia/NYJ UNDER 38.5", "Cin/Pit OVER 39.5"
BestBets: 3 - 3; SU All: 10 - 6 ; ATS All: 5 - 11
Week 15....
BestBets: "Oakland -6.5", "Atlanta -6", "KansasCity 0" "Buf/Mia UNDER 39.5", "NYJ/Pit UNDER 36", "Atl/Sea UNDER 45.5"
BestBets: 4 - 2; SU All: 11 - 5 ; ATS All: 10 - 6
Week 16....
BestBets: "Pit -14.5", "Buf +7.5", "Cin +8", "Jax -6.5", "Dal/Ari UNDER 45", "NE/Buf OVER 44", "Bal/Cle OVER 39.5"
BestBets: 2 - 5; SU All: 8 - 8 ; ATS All: 6 - 9
Week 17....
BestBets: "Cleveland -5.5", "Chicago + 9.5", "TampaBay +7", "Min/Det UNDER 43.5"
BestBets: 3 - 1; SU All: 8 - 8 ; ATS All: 7 - 9
Wildcard...
BestBets: "Seattle +10.0", "Baltimore -3.0'
BestBets: 2 - 0; SU All: 2 - 2 ; ATS All: 3 - 1
Division Playoffs...
BestBets: "Pittsburgh -3'
BestBets: 1 - 0; SU All: 2 - 2 ; ATS All: 1 - 3
Conference Championships...
BestBets: "Chicago +3.5', "NYJets +3.5", "GB/Chi OVER 42.5"
BestBets: 0 - 3; SU All: 0 - 2 ; ATS All: 0 - 2
Super Bowl XLV...
BestBets: "GreenBay - 2.5" , "Pit/GB OVER 44"
BestBets: 2 - 0; SU All: 1 - 0 ; ATS All: 1 - 0
My NFL Stats
How important is Time Of Possession in predicting outcomes of NFL Games...?
How Important is Home Field...?
My "RP-Excel System".....
It is quite complicated to explain but, in summary, consists of the best databases analyzed with Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms.
The analysis is done by very sophisticated software: Statistica and Evolver....
Several years ago I attempted to explain the system with a short video, and, although the system has undergone several modifications, the principle is the same. If you are curious you may watch the "NFL System Explained" here... or my "Horse Racing System" video as well......
